Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 22.532911 25.370996 28.365415 31.754014 35.475788 39.432575 43.950888
2024-12-22 18.271752 22.152257 26.496130 31.695528 37.724876 44.471101 52.563869
2024-12-29 15.971547 20.696105 26.270596 33.277339 41.788363 51.728196 64.146138
2025-01-05 13.594358 18.783525 25.221334 33.692246 44.430323 57.466688 74.353407
2025-01-12 11.117731 16.380428 23.241833 32.680905 45.144306 60.837452 81.860426
2025-01-19 9.088570 14.263470 21.344072 31.507778 45.452629 63.614995 88.705880
2025-01-26 8.259198 13.682403 21.412756 32.910099 49.190545 70.985666 101.848970
2025-02-02 7.952983 13.809355 22.456638 35.711679 54.985250 81.383480 119.534446
2025-02-09 7.354022 13.399646 22.651827 37.270143 59.092821 89.661507 134.726601
2025-02-16 6.533804 12.521593 22.032413 37.533407 61.299856 95.351406 146.555830
2025-02-23 5.650193 11.412237 20.922053 36.919135 62.114107 99.034008 155.650775
2025-03-02 4.973647 10.563384 20.129917 36.705424 63.468739 103.504822 166.005867
2025-03-09 4.482366 10.000653 19.783884 37.222932 66.053789 110.029793 179.837612
2025-03-16 3.932738 9.247795 19.028446 36.987375 67.411758 114.752832 191.191067
2025-03-23 3.722056 9.132109 19.389140 38.670261 71.966840 124.588131 210.678072
2025-03-30 3.361138 8.654554 19.033743 39.062356 74.391047 131.184623 225.446664
2025-04-06 2.858303 7.791839 17.853461 37.866160 74.034186 133.314890 233.315583
2025-04-13 2.409554 6.968849 16.649959 36.505387 73.272878 134.708262 240.018878
2025-04-20 2.297554 6.915196 16.987746 38.068580 77.732016 144.841744 261.078542
2025-04-27 2.333645 7.227764 18.110326 41.215321 85.177362 160.216033 291.130721
2025-05-04 2.240631 7.201805 18.509439 42.960946 90.152933 171.604867 315.012688
2025-05-11 2.038941 6.861801 18.193275 43.250007 92.452136 178.517905 331.719272
2025-05-18 1.788378 6.344629 17.425828 42.553133 92.854089 182.158854 343.062419